It’s always interesting to see how the system of scheduling in the NFL treats different teams for their success, and while it’s still way too early to actually decide who faces the toughest schedule in the 2013 season, according to last season’s record, the Carolina Panthers face the toughest schedule, while the Denver Broncos enjoy the easiest.
How does that happen? Well, division rivals come first. The Broncos finished with 13-3 record in a division that had no other team win more than 7 games. The combined record of the Chargers, Chiefs and Raiders was 13-35, giving the Broncos six games against presumably easy competition. Being in the AFC West while also being one of the best teams in the NFL last season means that more than six months before the season actually begins, it’s possible to say the Broncos shouldn’t have too tough of a road to the playoffs.
For the Carolina Panthers? They finished 7-9 in a division that had two more 7-9 teams, not to mention the 13-3 Atlanta Falcons. Those are six games making it much harder already, and facing two double digit winning teams in Seattle and the Vikings and in general the very tough NFC West (San Francisco, Seahawks) whiel getting the AFC East in the intraconference scheduling, which means the New England Patriots.
2013 Strength of schedule | ||
Team |
SOS
|
Opponent record |
---|---|---|
Carolina Panthers |
.543
|
138-116-2 |
Detroit Lions |
.539
|
138-118-0 |
New Orleans Saints |
.539
|
137-117-2 |
St. Louis Rams |
.539
|
137-117-2 |
Baltimore Ravens |
.535
|
137-119-0 |
Green Bay Packers |
.533
|
136-119-1 |
Arizona Cardinals |
.520
|
131-121-4 |
Miami Dolphins |
.520
|
133-123-0 |
San Francisco 49ers |
.520
|
132-122-2 |
Minnesota Vikings |
.516
|
132-124-0 |
Seattle Seahawks |
.516
|
130-122-4 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
.508
|
130-126-0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
.508
|
129-125-2 |
New England Patriots |
.508
|
130-126-0 |
Atlanta Falcons |
.504
|
128-126-0 |
Chicago Bears |
.502
|
128-127-1 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
.500
|
127-127-2 |
Washington Redskins |
.498
|
127-128-1 |
New York Jets |
.496
|
127-129-0 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
.496
|
127-129-0 |
Cleveland Browns |
.492
|
126-130-0 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
.496
|
126-130-0 |
Tennessee Titans |
.488
|
124-130-2 |
New York Giants |
.480
|
123-133-0 |
Dallas Cowboys |
.480
|
121-134-1 |
Buffalo Bills |
.473
|
121-135-0 |
Houston Texans |
.473
|
120-134-2 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
.473
|
121-135-0 |
Oakland Raiders |
.469
|
120-136-0 |
Indianapolis Colts |
.461
|
117-137-2 |
San Diego Chargers |
.457
|
117-139-0 |
Denver Broncos |
.430
|
110-146-0 |
How tough is it going to be for the champions? The Ravens play in the AFC North, which had only one team with a losing record last season, the always terrible Cleveland Browns. Along with playing against the AFC East and the NFC North, a division with three 10-win teams, life isn’t going to be for the defending Super Bowl champs, ranked fifth on the strength of schedule list with a .539. The Detroit Lions, St. Louis Rams and New Orleans Saints face an uphill struggle, at least according to the numbers alone, when it comes to their playoff battle.
And what about the easier routes? The Indianapolis Colts from the AFC South and a team that should continue to improve in 2013, finishing during Andrew Luck’s rookie season, are third when it comes to most comfortable schedule, paired up with teams from the AFC West next season, also meaning we have a Luck vs Manning game.
Just a reminder – the team with the toughest preseason strength of schedule, the New York Giants, who were the defending Super Bowl champions, didn’t make it into the postseason, finishing with a 9-7 record in the tough NFC East.
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