How the BCS Standings Are Going to Look Like

Alabama vs Georgia State

The first BCS standings of the season will come out on October 20, and have nothing to do with the AP Poll’s Top 25. However, based on the other measures, including the computers, Harris Poll, and the Coaches poll, it’s possible to predict that Alabama will keep on staying number one, while Oregon and Ohio State will take the biggest hits compared to their current ranking, while Clemson and Stanford get a much needed boost.

Right now, there are 17 undefeated teams in College Football. Except for Houston, all the other 16 teams are in the top 25, with Freson State getting the lowest ranking among them at 23.

BCS RANK TEAM BCS AVG HARRIS VOTES HARRIS PCT COACHES VOTES COACHES PCT SAGARIN COLLEY ANDERSON-HESTER BILLINGSLEY MASSEY WOLFE CPU AVG
1 Alabama 0.9798 1495 0.9967 1544 0.9961 2 4 1 2 3 2.3333
2 Clemson 0.8869 1359 0.906 1356 0.8748 11 3 2 5 4 4
3 Stanford 0.8849 1278 0.852 1327 0.8561 12 1 4 1 2 2.3333
4 Oregon 0.876 1424 0.9493 1486 0.9587 1 10 10 7 7 8
5 Ohio State 0.8221 1305 0.87 1379 0.8897 14 8 8 4 9 8.3333
6 Florida State 0.8195 1158 0.772 1188 0.7665 4 2 3 13 1 3
7 Georgia 0.7626 1138 0.7587 1130 0.729 13 6 6 6 5 6
8 Oklahoma 0.6604 819 0.546 964 0.6219 7 5 5 3 10 5.6667
9 LSU 0.6167 993 0.662 953 0.6148 5 15 15 8 12 11.6667
10 UCLA 0.5744 844 0.5627 807 0.5206 10 12 7 16 8 10
11 Louisville 0.5556 1051 0.7007 1105 0.7129 8 20 25 14 27 19.6667
12 Texas A&M 0.5457 1003 0.6687 1067 0.6884 6 25 26 11 21 19
13 Miami (Fla.) 0.5206 780 0.52 747 0.4819 16 9 9 19 11 12
14 South Carolina 0.4645 764 0.5093 833 0.5374 21 21 17 9 14 17.3333
15 Baylor 0.457 681 0.454 698 0.4503 3 14 12 17 22 14.3333
16 Michigan 0.4058 514 0.3427 591 0.3813 31 11 13 10 17 13.6667
17 Florida 0.3314 536 0.3573 574 0.3703 17 23 18 23 15 19.3333
18 Washington 0.2823 556 0.3707 366 0.2361 15 22 22 20 18 20
19 Texas Tech 0.2807 358 0.2387 336 0.2168 9 13 16 22 20 16.3333
20 Missouri 0.2285 105 0.07 86 0.0555 18 7 11 29 6 12
21 Northwestern 0.1774 418 0.2787 393 0.2535 37 26 36 18 29 30.3333
22 Northern Illinois 0.1603 138 0.092 169 0.109 44 18 20 12 19 19
23 Fresno State 0.1494 258 0.172 325 0.2097 57 19 21 31 28 26.6667
24 Virginia Tech 0.1264 115 0.0767 97 0.0626 25 16 19 33 13 20
25 Oklahoma State 0.1206 204 0.136 350 0.2258 26 42 34 26 41 33.6667

According to the computer average, the two strongest teams in the nation right now are Alabama and Stanford, aided by the Tide’s wins over teams like Texas A&M and Ole Miss, while their season-opening win over Virginia Tech keeps looking better and better. Stanford have beaten Washington, who were #15 on the AP Poll heading into the new week, and also a ranked Arizona State team.

Among the title contenders, the computers don’t really like Oregon, with an average ranking of 8, and Ohio State, with an 8.3. Despite Oregon’s impressive performances on the field, it hasn’t come against the most impressive of rivals – Virginia, Tennessee, California and Colorado. However, playing against Washington, UCLA and Stanford in the next few weeks should help them in terms of strength of schedule, if they do come out unscathed from those games.

Ohio State do have a problem considering their current situation, because until they play Michigan on the final day of the season, there isn’t really a rival that’s going to help them boost their ratings. Their last two wins over Wisconsin and Northwestern haven’t really helped make up for wins over Buffalo, San Diego State, California and Florida A&M.

What is worth remembering is that the voters usually tend to notice the undefeated record more than strength of schedule, and most of the BCS controversies of recent years happened because voters made up their minds, not the computers, like Alabama keeping Oklahoma State out of the title game in 2011, despite not even playing in the SEC championship game.

Polls from CBSsports/ Image via ajc.com
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