The first BCS standings of the season will come out on October 20, and have nothing to do with the AP Poll’s Top 25. However, based on the other measures, including the computers, Harris Poll, and the Coaches poll, it’s possible to predict that Alabama will keep on staying number one, while Oregon and Ohio State will take the biggest hits compared to their current ranking, while Clemson and Stanford get a much needed boost.
Right now, there are 17 undefeated teams in College Football. Except for Houston, all the other 16 teams are in the top 25, with Freson State getting the lowest ranking among them at 23.
BCS RANK | TEAM | BCS AVG | HARRIS VOTES | HARRIS PCT | COACHES VOTES | COACHES PCT | SAGARIN | COLLEY | ANDERSON-HESTER | BILLINGSLEY | MASSEY | WOLFE | CPU AVG |
1 | Alabama | 0.9798 | 1495 | 0.9967 | 1544 | 0.9961 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | – | 2.3333 |
2 | Clemson | 0.8869 | 1359 | 0.906 | 1356 | 0.8748 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | – | 4 |
3 | Stanford | 0.8849 | 1278 | 0.852 | 1327 | 0.8561 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | – | 2.3333 |
4 | Oregon | 0.876 | 1424 | 0.9493 | 1486 | 0.9587 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | – | 8 |
5 | Ohio State | 0.8221 | 1305 | 0.87 | 1379 | 0.8897 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 9 | – | 8.3333 |
6 | Florida State | 0.8195 | 1158 | 0.772 | 1188 | 0.7665 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | – | 3 |
7 | Georgia | 0.7626 | 1138 | 0.7587 | 1130 | 0.729 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | – | 6 |
8 | Oklahoma | 0.6604 | 819 | 0.546 | 964 | 0.6219 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | – | 5.6667 |
9 | LSU | 0.6167 | 993 | 0.662 | 953 | 0.6148 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 12 | – | 11.6667 |
10 | UCLA | 0.5744 | 844 | 0.5627 | 807 | 0.5206 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 8 | – | 10 |
11 | Louisville | 0.5556 | 1051 | 0.7007 | 1105 | 0.7129 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 14 | 27 | – | 19.6667 |
12 | Texas A&M | 0.5457 | 1003 | 0.6687 | 1067 | 0.6884 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 11 | 21 | – | 19 |
13 | Miami (Fla.) | 0.5206 | 780 | 0.52 | 747 | 0.4819 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 11 | – | 12 |
14 | South Carolina | 0.4645 | 764 | 0.5093 | 833 | 0.5374 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 14 | – | 17.3333 |
15 | Baylor | 0.457 | 681 | 0.454 | 698 | 0.4503 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 22 | – | 14.3333 |
16 | Michigan | 0.4058 | 514 | 0.3427 | 591 | 0.3813 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 17 | – | 13.6667 |
17 | Florida | 0.3314 | 536 | 0.3573 | 574 | 0.3703 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 23 | 15 | – | 19.3333 |
18 | Washington | 0.2823 | 556 | 0.3707 | 366 | 0.2361 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 18 | – | 20 |
19 | Texas Tech | 0.2807 | 358 | 0.2387 | 336 | 0.2168 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 22 | 20 | – | 16.3333 |
20 | Missouri | 0.2285 | 105 | 0.07 | 86 | 0.0555 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 | – | 12 |
21 | Northwestern | 0.1774 | 418 | 0.2787 | 393 | 0.2535 | 37 | 26 | 36 | 18 | 29 | – | 30.3333 |
22 | Northern Illinois | 0.1603 | 138 | 0.092 | 169 | 0.109 | 44 | 18 | 20 | 12 | 19 | – | 19 |
23 | Fresno State | 0.1494 | 258 | 0.172 | 325 | 0.2097 | 57 | 19 | 21 | 31 | 28 | – | 26.6667 |
24 | Virginia Tech | 0.1264 | 115 | 0.0767 | 97 | 0.0626 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 33 | 13 | – | 20 |
25 | Oklahoma State | 0.1206 | 204 | 0.136 | 350 | 0.2258 | 26 | 42 | 34 | 26 | 41 | – | 33.6667 |
According to the computer average, the two strongest teams in the nation right now are Alabama and Stanford, aided by the Tide’s wins over teams like Texas A&M and Ole Miss, while their season-opening win over Virginia Tech keeps looking better and better. Stanford have beaten Washington, who were #15 on the AP Poll heading into the new week, and also a ranked Arizona State team.
Among the title contenders, the computers don’t really like Oregon, with an average ranking of 8, and Ohio State, with an 8.3. Despite Oregon’s impressive performances on the field, it hasn’t come against the most impressive of rivals – Virginia, Tennessee, California and Colorado. However, playing against Washington, UCLA and Stanford in the next few weeks should help them in terms of strength of schedule, if they do come out unscathed from those games.
Ohio State do have a problem considering their current situation, because until they play Michigan on the final day of the season, there isn’t really a rival that’s going to help them boost their ratings. Their last two wins over Wisconsin and Northwestern haven’t really helped make up for wins over Buffalo, San Diego State, California and Florida A&M.
What is worth remembering is that the voters usually tend to notice the undefeated record more than strength of schedule, and most of the BCS controversies of recent years happened because voters made up their minds, not the computers, like Alabama keeping Oklahoma State out of the title game in 2011, despite not even playing in the SEC championship game.