How the First BCS Standings Are Going to Look Like

How the First BCS Standings Are Going to Look Like

Kenny Drake ran for 106 yards and two touchdowns as Alabama improved to 6-0, beating Kentucky 48-7
Kenny Drake ran for 106 yards and two touchdowns as Alabama improved to 6-0, beating Kentucky 48-7

The first BCS Standings of the 2013 season are going to come out after week 8 is played, on October 20. Up until now, the guiding beacon of upsets and BCS projections has been the AP Poll, which even isn’t taken into account to compute the BCS final number. However, one thing that seems quite consistent, is the appearance of Alabama, Oregon and Clemson (in that order) as the top 3 teams in the nation.

It actually gets iffy below second place, which means that there seems to be consensus between the voters (Harris & Coaches) and the computers about Alabama and Oregon being the best teams in the nation, but it’s a bit more complicated down the road, or at least at this point, separating between Clemson, Ohio State and Florida State, and where do one-loss teams like Texas A&M and LSU fit into all of this.

BCS RANK
TEAM
BCS AVG
HARRIS VOTES
HARRIS PCT
COACHES VOTES
COACHES PCT
SAGARIN
COLLEY
ANDERSON-HESTER
BILLINGSLEY
MASSEY
WOLFE
CPU AVG
1
Alabama
0.9886
2589
0.9958
1545
0.9968
2
4
1
1
2
1.6667
2
Oregon
0.9333
2501
0.9619
1485
0.9581
1
5
5
2
5
4
3
Clemson
0.8932
2355
0.9058
1365
0.8806
11
2
4
3
4
3.6667
4
Florida State
0.8532
2198
0.8454
1293
0.8342
3
1
6
14
3
4
5
Ohio State
0.8347
2280
0.8769
1406
0.9071
10
6
8
4
11
8
6
LSU
0.7393
1914
0.7362
1098
0.7084
6
7
7
5
7
6.6667
7
Texas A&M
0.708
1919
0.7381
1156
0.7458
8
11
18
9
10
10
8
UCLA
0.6886
1719
0.6612
999
0.6445
7
8
3
17
6
7
9
Louisville
0.6305
1922
0.7392
1166
0.7523
9
18
19
11
25
16
10
Missouri
0.5811
1140
0.4385
617
0.3981
5
3
2
10
1
3.3333
11
Stanford
0.5743
1482
0.57
857
0.5529
17
9
11
6
13
11
12
South Carolina
0.5739
1511
0.5812
1024
0.6606
18
20
15
7
9
14
13
Miami (Fla.)
0.5692
1570
0.6038
905
0.5839
12
13
12
22
14
13
14
Baylor
0.5596
1451
0.5581
890
0.5742
4
12
10
15
16
12.3333
15
Georgia
0.4563
1014
0.39
546
0.3523
13
10
9
12
8
10.3333
16
Texas Tech
0.3567
1070
0.4115
587
0.3787
20
17
16
21
20
19
17
Oklahoma
0.3225
840
0.3231
482
0.311
19
21
13
8
22
17.6667
18
Virginia Tech
0.241
584
0.2246
297
0.1916
24
14
17
29
12
18.3333
19
Northern Illinois
0.1986
376
0.1446
224
0.1445
47
16
21
13
18
18.3333
20
Fresno State
0.1939
671
0.2581
419
0.2703
53
22
20
36
29
29
21
Oklahoma State
0.1868
630
0.2423
493
0.3181
25
37
36
34
37
35.6667
22
Florida
0.1561
399
0.1535
240
0.1548
16
27
23
27
17
22.3333
23
Auburn
0.1162
170
0.0654
67
0.0432
30
19
14
28
15
20.6667
24
Nebraska
0.1016
326
0.1254
278
0.1794
37
32
34
31
33
33
25
Michigan
0.0886
323
0.1242
178
0.1148
35
25
25
18
32
27.3333

The average computer ranking for Alabama is 1.66, which means there really isn’t any doubt about them being the best in the nation. They’ve beaten Texas A&M, Ole Miss and a Virginia Tech team that has since won six consecutive games, putting them in the top 20, and making it look better and better for the Crimson Tide, who don’t have too many chances of messing up along the way.

Oregon have made up a lot of improvement compared to last week through a big win over a ranked team (Finally), beating Washington 45-24. Their points and style don’t matter much in terms of computer, but no ranker has put them below fifth.

Oregon beat Washington 45-24 to get their first win over a ranked team this season, improving to 6-0
Oregon beat Washington 45-24 to get their first win over a ranked team this season, improving to 6-0

Alabama get two first place rankings, Oregon gets one as well. This is probably the national title game most of the neutrals want to see in order to try and put a rest to the debate that the SEC is overrated. They’ve won the last seven title games, and Oregon seemed like the team to put the best fight to any of them, losing by a field goal to Auburn and Cam Newton after the 2010 season. They’ve only been to BCS games over the last four years, so its safe to assume they should be the best threat, unlike Notre Dame, who completely botched their opportunity.

Florida State get a number one ranking, but the whole ACC thing will be decided in Clemson between the two undefeated teams. Missouri, surprisingly, also have one computer picking them at number one after a 6-0 start, but they have to play Florida, South Carolina, Ole Miss and Texas A&M in the SEC’s way of attempting to create a rivalry, and it’s unlikely we’ll still see them so high up the rankings in a few weeks time.

The problem for Florida State and Clemson, especially the Tigers, is their rivalry week opponents. Florida might not look too hot at the moment, but they still have the kind of defense that should give anyone, especially out-of-conference teams, a lot of trouble. South Carolina, right now, look like the best team in the SEC East. If Clemson do reach that game undefeated, a loss won’t hurt their ACC conference title, but it’ll be a blow that obviously throws them out of the national championship race.

It’s quite clear – Alabama and the SEC have the edge when it comes to equal records. Undefeated Alabama is ranked higher than any other, and undefeated LSU and A&M are getting the same treatment. For Ohio State (with the easiest record until the end, including a one-loss Michigan team), Clemson, Florida State and Oregon, one loss means the end to their title hopes, even if Alabama lose to LSU or anyone else in what remains of their schedule, that might have already seen its biggest threat facing the Aggies.

Hat tip: CBS Sports

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