2013 BCS Standings – Week 10

Ohio State

Week 10 of the 2013 College Football season gave Florida State, by beating another top 10 opponent in Miami, a chance to move back into the number 2 spot, taking advantage of Oregon having a bye week before their biggest game of the season, which didn’t have any positional effect on Alabama, standing firm at the top of the BCS standings.

The biggest movers in the rankings were Oklahoma State (after beating Texas Tech) and Michigan State (after an impressive win over Michigan), moving up five spots. The only newcomer to the top 25 this week were Arizona State after their away win over the Washington State Cougars, while Michigan were dropped from the rankings.

BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RK TEAM AVG PVS RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Alabama .9797 1 1 2613 .9954 1 1540 .9935 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 .950
2 Florida State .9525 3 3 2444 .9310 3 1436 .9265 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1.000
3 Oregon .9435 2 2 2491 .9490 2 1475 .9516 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 .930
4 Ohio State .8720 4 4 2317 .8827 4 1369 .8832 4 4 3 2 8 5 7 .850
5 Stanford .7930 5 6 2102 .8008 6 1222 .7884 5 6 5 5 4 9 9 .790
6 Baylor .7745 6 5 2167 .8255 5 1299 .8381 9 8 11 9 12 7 10 .660
7 Clemson .7277 8 7 1890 .7200 7 1121 .7232 8 10 6 7 7 10 4 .740
8 Missouri .6890 9 8 1725 .6571 9 961 .6200 5 5 9 6 5 8 6 .790
9 Auburn .6686 11 9 1672 .6370 10 959 .6187 7 9 14 8 6 6 5 .750
10 Oklahoma .6084 10 10 1572 .5989 8 971 .6265 11 7 7 10 13 15 14 .600
11 Miami (FL) .5246 7 13 1344 .5120 14 747 .4819 12 13 15 11 10 12 8 .580
12 South Carolina .5111 14 15 1175 .4476 15 722 .4658 10 11 8 13 9 11 11 .620
13 LSU .4525 13 11 1467 .5589 12 835 .5387 18 21 10 NR 19 19 19 .260
14 Oklahoma State .4395 18 14 1315 .5010 11 864 .5574 18 18 18 20 22 18 24 .260
15 Texas A&M .4365 12 12 1426 .5432 13 800 .5161 21 23 19 21 17 22 16 .250
16 Fresno State .3675 16 17 989 .3768 17 567 .3658 16 17 25 14 23 14 12 .360
17 Michigan State .3394 22 18 789 .3006 19 446 .2877 13 16 21 12 14 16 15 .430
18 Northern Illinois .3169 17 20 727 .2770 20 409 .2639 14 22 13 17 20 4 13 .410
19 UCLA .2904 20 19 768 .2926 18 494 .3187 18 20 20 24 18 20 17 .260
20 Louisville .2510 19 16 1013 .3859 16 569 .3671 27 NR 17 NR NR NR NR .000
21 UCF .2151 23 21 567 .2160 21 340 .2194 23 24 16 22 NR 17 20 .210
22 Arizona State .1770 NR 24 255 .0971 24 130 .0839 17 12 NR 15 11 24 18 .350
23 Notre Dame .1662 25 25 155 .0590 25 108 .0697 15 15 12 16 15 23 21 .370
24 Wisconsin .1288 24 22 450 .1714 22 333 .2148 27 NR NR NR NR NR NR .000
25 Texas Tech .0986 15 23 409 .1558 23 217 .1400 27 NR 23 NR NR NR NR .000

As Florida State move up in the world after another win over a top 10 team, it doesn’t mean that they’ll stay there. The human polls are easier to predict than the computers, and they have an inherit bias towards certain teams in certain years. Oregon, as long as they win out, will be in the top 2. If they do beat Stanford this weekend in Palo Alto (a Thursday night game), it’s hard seeing anyone left, including in the Pac-12 championship game, stopping them from playing in the national title.

It’s worth mentioning that the last time Florida State started the season 8-0 was in 1999, a season they finished with a perfect 12-0 record, winning the national title.

The same goes for Alabama. We still have other undefeated teams like Ohio State, Baylor, Fresno State and Northern Illinois, but the first two need quite a few teams above them to lose in order to move ahead, not to mention trying to beat the bias towards the SEC of the coaches (a poll that really shouldn’t determine anything) and the Harris poll.

As for the chances of Alabama actually not making it to the title game? Only three times has a team ranked number one at this stage not played in the BCS National Championship Game: Oklahoma (2002), Alabama (2008), and Florida (2009).

Alabama have now been ranked 4th or higher for the last 19 weeks. Oregon have been in the top 5 for 12 consecutive weeks as well. Among all that, three schools reached their highest rankings ever: Baylor at 6, Fresno State at 16 and UCF at 21.

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