Predicting the Winner of Super Bowl XLVII

All you have to do is look at the numbers, and beyond the NFC and AFC championship games, you might get a glimpse into the future, seeing who will win Super Bowl XLVII, based on the seedindg of the New England Partiots, San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons and the Baltimore Ravens.

For example, the Falcons are the #1 seed remaining. It’s been four years since the New Orleans Saints won the Super Bowl, the last of the #1 NFC seeds to do it. Before them? A 10 year gap until we reach the 1999 St. Louis Rams. Since 1975, 14 #1 seeds from the NFC won the Super Bowl, giving the Falcons a 40% if we’re going by these calculations.

The San Francisco 49ers are actually the favorites according to most in the NFC title game, despite playing on the road, coming in as the #2 seed. In 1988, the 49ers won the Super Bowl coming in as the #2 seed from the NFC, something that has happened a total of four times, the last of which in 2002, when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the Super Bowl. This gives the Niners an 11.4% chance.

What about the New England Patriots? The Pats are the hosts and the #2 seed in the AFC. In both 2001 and 2004 they won the Super Bowl coming in as the #2 seed, while their 2003 triumph came with a #1 seed attached to it. Only four AFC #2 seeds have won the Super Bowl in the past.

And the Baltimore Ravens, underdogs going into New England, although not as big as the records might suggest due to their win against the Patriots this season. The Ravens are the #4 seed in the AFC, which is pretty good for them. The Ravens won their only Super Bowl in 2000, coming in as the #4 seed in the AFC, one of only three teams since 1975 to go all the way with that kind of ranking. Maybe this means it’s their year once more. Maybe numbers are just numbers.

NFL Home-Field Advantage?

Infographic from