2013 BCS Standings – Week 14

Ohio State v Michigan

In the most anticipated BCS standings release of the season (before the one that will come out next week), it seems Ohio State have the inside track to the second berth in the BCS national championship game, leaving Auburn and Missouri on the outside and hoping for either the Buckeyes or Florida State to slip up in order to keep the SEC in the final of College Football.

The rest of the top 25 matters less and less when the big prize is still undetermined. Ohio State have the pollsters and most of the computers on their side. Even if their next rival – Michigan State, won’t bring them the kind of points Auburn or Missouri will get for a win in the SEC championship game, it seems like the voting is going their way, and it’ll be the determining factor.

BCS Harris Poll Coaches Poll Computer rankings
Rank Team Avg. Prev. Rank Points % Rank Points % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Florida State .9948 2 1 2617 .9970 1 1546 .9974 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 .990
2 Ohio State .9503 3 2 2488 .9478 2 1462 .9432 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 .960
3 Auburn .9233 4 3 2422 .9227 3 1437 .9271 3 3 3 1 3 6 3 .920
4 Alabama .8539 1 4 2262 .8617 4 1333 .8600 4 5 4 8 4 7 4 .840
5 Missouri .8428 5 5 2231 .8499 5 1315 .8484 5 4 5 3 7 8 5 .830
6 Oklahoma State .7629 7 6 2083 .7935 6 1248 .8052 9 8 7 9 15 5 11 .690
7 Stanford .7069 8 7 1873 .7135 10 1034 .6671 7 7 6 6 8 10 9 .740
8 South Carolina .7037 10 8 1841 .7013 7 1100 .7097 8 10 10 7 10 4 7 .700
9 Baylor .6623 9 9 1778 .6773 7 1100 .7097 12 9 8 11 13 12 12 .600
10 Michigan State .6529 11 10 1758 .6697 9 1037 .6690 11 12 13 10 9 11 8 .620
11 Arizona State .5833 12 13 1277 .4865 13 765 .4935 6 6 11 5 6 9 6 .770
12 Oregon .5321 13 12 1398 .5326 12 843 .5439 13 11 14 12 12 15 14 .520
13 Clemson .5201 6 11 1444 .5501 11 853 .5503 14 16 12 15 14 16 13 .460
14 Northern Illinois .4812 14 15 1104 .4206 18 547 .3529 10 18 9 13 5 2 10 .670
15 LSU .4213 17 14 1258 .4792 14 720 .4645 17 20 18 19 16 18 17 .320
16 UCF .3858 19 18 967 .3684 17 572 .3690 16 15 15 16 19 14 16 .420
17 Oklahoma .3808 18 16 1041 .3966 15 660 .4258 17 14 16 17 25 20 19 .320
18 UCLA .3506 22 19 779 .2968 19 473 .3052 15 13 19 14 11 17 15 .450
19 Louisville .2630 20 17 1013 .3859 16 625 .4032 28 NR 17 NR NR NR NR .000
20 Duke .2252 24 20 620 .2362 20 402 .2594 21 24 20 18 NR 19 23 .180
21 Wisconsin .1988 15 21 485 .1848 21 266 .1716 20 21 22 21 18 13 20 .240
22 Georgia .1143 NR 25 148 .0564 NR 41 .0265 19 19 NR 20 17 21 18 .260
23 Fresno State .1006 16 22 428 .1630 22 215 .1387 28 NR NR NR NR NR NR .000
24 Texas A&M .0995 21 23 290 .1105 25 121 .0781 23 NR 24 25 22 22 21 .110
25 Texas .0666 NR 24 167 .0636 24 149 .0961 25 22 21 NR NR NR NR .040

The computers will supply enough of a jump for either Auburn or Missouri, and especially for Auburn. But will it be enough to convince the voters? Both Missouri and Auburn didn’t impress the polls too much during the season, so will a win over one another be that significant on the final day? It all depends on how hard it is for Ohio State when they play Michigan State, who are probably the best team they’ve faced all season.

How about the other bowls? It’s less about the rankings and more about winning conferences. Assuming Ohio State win and go to the national championship game, Michigan State will find itself playing in the Rose Bowl. Even if they do beat the Buckeyes, they won’t find themselves rising to one of the top two, and settle for their first Rose Bowl appearance in the BCS era and since 1988, when they beat USC.

The Big 12 doesn’t have a conference championship game, but it’s still quite open. Oklahoma State have all the cards in their hands (#6 in the standings), and need to beat Oklahoma in order to make it to the Fiesta Bowl. Why not the national championship game? Too far behind, and the numbers don’t add up. It just goes to show why Auburn and Missouri shouldn’t make the national championship game if Ohio State still win. The Big Ten, like it or not, is a AQ conference, and deserves to be treated like that, no matter how much campaigning the SEC does. Texas need to beat Baylor and hope Oklahoma win in Bedlam to win the conference.

The Sugar Bowl will have Alabama, who have a shot at the national title game if both Ohio State and Florida State lose their conference championship games. Although then the voices will be made about Oklahoma State and Michigan State, but unfortunately, it’ll create an All-SEC final for the second time in three years. The Orange Bowl, unless Duke upset Florida State, will call Clemson to its gates, hoping it doesn’t end in an embarrassment like two years ago against West Virginia.

Image & Chart: Source
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