Week 10 of the 2013 College Football season gave Florida State, by beating another top 10 opponent in Miami, a chance to move back into the number 2 spot, taking advantage of Oregon having a bye week before their biggest game of the season, which didn’t have any positional effect on Alabama, standing firm at the top of the BCS standings.
The biggest movers in the rankings were Oklahoma State (after beating Texas Tech) and Michigan State (after an impressive win over Michigan), moving up five spots. The only newcomer to the top 25 this week were Arizona State after their away win over the Washington State Cougars, while Michigan were dropped from the rankings.
| BCS | Harris Poll | USA Today | Computer Rankings | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | TEAM | AVG | PVS | RK | PTS | % | RK | PTS | % | AVG | A&H | RB | CM | KM | JS | PW | % |
| 1 | Alabama | .9797 | 1 | 1 | 2613 | .9954 | 1 | 1540 | .9935 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .950 |
| 2 | Florida State | .9525 | 3 | 3 | 2444 | .9310 | 3 | 1436 | .9265 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Oregon | .9435 | 2 | 2 | 2491 | .9490 | 2 | 1475 | .9516 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | .930 |
| 4 | Ohio State | .8720 | 4 | 4 | 2317 | .8827 | 4 | 1369 | .8832 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 | .850 |
| 5 | Stanford | .7930 | 5 | 6 | 2102 | .8008 | 6 | 1222 | .7884 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | .790 |
| 6 | Baylor | .7745 | 6 | 5 | 2167 | .8255 | 5 | 1299 | .8381 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 10 | .660 |
| 7 | Clemson | .7277 | 8 | 7 | 1890 | .7200 | 7 | 1121 | .7232 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .740 |
| 8 | Missouri | .6890 | 9 | 8 | 1725 | .6571 | 9 | 961 | .6200 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 6 | .790 |
| 9 | Auburn | .6686 | 11 | 9 | 1672 | .6370 | 10 | 959 | .6187 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | .750 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | .6084 | 10 | 10 | 1572 | .5989 | 8 | 971 | .6265 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | .600 |
| 11 | Miami (FL) | .5246 | 7 | 13 | 1344 | .5120 | 14 | 747 | .4819 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 8 | .580 |
| 12 | South Carolina | .5111 | 14 | 15 | 1175 | .4476 | 15 | 722 | .4658 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 11 | .620 |
| 13 | LSU | .4525 | 13 | 11 | 1467 | .5589 | 12 | 835 | .5387 | 18 | 21 | 10 | NR | 19 | 19 | 19 | .260 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | .4395 | 18 | 14 | 1315 | .5010 | 11 | 864 | .5574 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 24 | .260 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | .4365 | 12 | 12 | 1426 | .5432 | 13 | 800 | .5161 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 16 | .250 |
| 16 | Fresno State | .3675 | 16 | 17 | 989 | .3768 | 17 | 567 | .3658 | 16 | 17 | 25 | 14 | 23 | 14 | 12 | .360 |
| 17 | Michigan State | .3394 | 22 | 18 | 789 | .3006 | 19 | 446 | .2877 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | .430 |
| 18 | Northern Illinois | .3169 | 17 | 20 | 727 | .2770 | 20 | 409 | .2639 | 14 | 22 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 13 | .410 |
| 19 | UCLA | .2904 | 20 | 19 | 768 | .2926 | 18 | 494 | .3187 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 17 | .260 |
| 20 | Louisville | .2510 | 19 | 16 | 1013 | .3859 | 16 | 569 | .3671 | 27 | NR | 17 | NR | NR | NR | NR | .000 |
| 21 | UCF | .2151 | 23 | 21 | 567 | .2160 | 21 | 340 | .2194 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 22 | NR | 17 | 20 | .210 |
| 22 | Arizona State | .1770 | NR | 24 | 255 | .0971 | 24 | 130 | .0839 | 17 | 12 | NR | 15 | 11 | 24 | 18 | .350 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | .1662 | 25 | 25 | 155 | .0590 | 25 | 108 | .0697 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 21 | .370 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | .1288 | 24 | 22 | 450 | .1714 | 22 | 333 | .2148 | 27 | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | .000 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | .0986 | 15 | 23 | 409 | .1558 | 23 | 217 | .1400 | 27 | NR | 23 | NR | NR | NR | NR | .000 |
As Florida State move up in the world after another win over a top 10 team, it doesn’t mean that they’ll stay there. The human polls are easier to predict than the computers, and they have an inherit bias towards certain teams in certain years. Oregon, as long as they win out, will be in the top 2. If they do beat Stanford this weekend in Palo Alto (a Thursday night game), it’s hard seeing anyone left, including in the Pac-12 championship game, stopping them from playing in the national title.
It’s worth mentioning that the last time Florida State started the season 8-0 was in 1999, a season they finished with a perfect 12-0 record, winning the national title.
The same goes for Alabama. We still have other undefeated teams like Ohio State, Baylor, Fresno State and Northern Illinois, but the first two need quite a few teams above them to lose in order to move ahead, not to mention trying to beat the bias towards the SEC of the coaches (a poll that really shouldn’t determine anything) and the Harris poll.
As for the chances of Alabama actually not making it to the title game? Only three times has a team ranked number one at this stage not played in the BCS National Championship Game: Oklahoma (2002), Alabama (2008), and Florida (2009).
Alabama have now been ranked 4th or higher for the last 19 weeks. Oregon have been in the top 5 for 12 consecutive weeks as well. Among all that, three schools reached their highest rankings ever: Baylor at 6, Fresno State at 16 and UCF at 21.
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